In case anyone forgot to mention, but the yield curve is not technically inverted in the traditional sense. Inversion being the harbinger of a recession is based on the difference between the 3 month yield and 10 year yield (the spread). When that inverts it has been a reliable indicator that a recession is 12-24 months out. This mini-inversion that has/is occurring is between the 2 and 5 year maturities. Concerning, but not nearly as much as the 3mo vs 10yr.
__________________
Present
2015 Chevrolet SS
2014 Jeep Cherokee Trailhawk V6
|