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I'm starting to face this question now. My lease runs out in November 2022, and if I want a replacement car I probably need to get something ordered sooner rather than later, given supply chain issues.
My contractual residual is $32K on a 2019 i3s with Tera World, Tech+DAP, H/K, 20" wheels, and heat pump.
Just looking at edmunds.com on a 2018 MY (i.e., roughly as old as my car will be when my lease is up in close to a year from now), the FMV seems relatively close to the contractual residual.
I like the car and its small size (great for parking). Nothing in the current BMW lineup is sending me, since they are all too long. Maybe could put in an order for a Mini Cooper SE....
Decisions, decisions.
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